List of Flash News about CME FedWatch
| Time | Details |
|---|---|
|
2025-12-10 19:32 |
Powell Flags Cooling Labor Market and Elevated Inflation: Stagflation Signal and Crypto (BTC, ETH) Trading Watch on Yields and DXY
According to @KobeissiLetter, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said "Conditions in the labor market are cooling, and inflation remains somewhat elevated" on Dec 10, 2025, highlighting a mixed macro backdrop. Source: @KobeissiLetter. @KobeissiLetter characterized the comment as another way to say stagflation, pointing to slowing jobs momentum alongside sticky prices. Source: @KobeissiLetter. For trading, commonly watched gauges in this backdrop are Fed rate expectations on CME FedWatch, U.S. Treasury 2Y/10Y yields, ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), and BTC, ETH futures basis and funding on CME and major crypto exchanges. Sources: CME Group; U.S. Department of the Treasury; ICE; CME Group; Binance, OKX, Coinbase public market data. For exact wording, traders should verify the official transcript on the Federal Reserve website. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. |
|
2025-12-10 13:03 |
Trump Starts Final-Round Fed Chair Interviews With Kevin Warsh First: What Traders Should Watch for Rates, USD, BTC, ETH
According to CNBC, Trump will begin final-round interviews for Federal Reserve Chair, starting with Kevin Warsh, signaling the selection process is in its closing phase, source: CNBC. The Fed Chair also chairs the FOMC and shapes the policy agenda and rate communications that drive interest-rate expectations and liquidity conditions, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Traders should monitor US 2-year Treasury yields, the US dollar index, and fed funds futures as implied odds shift during leadership selections, with probabilities broadly tracked via CME FedWatch, source: CME Group. Crypto markets including BTC and ETH are sensitive to US rate expectations and liquidity, with elevated volatility documented around major Fed policy events, source: Bank for International Settlements. |
|
2025-12-09 23:44 |
Fed Decision 24-Hour Alert: @AltcoinDaily Flags Pivotal BTC and ETH Move – What Traders Should Monitor Now
According to @AltcoinDaily, a new post claims the Federal Reserve’s next move will be revealed within 24 hours and could be the biggest moment for BTC and ETH, linking to a video for details, source: @AltcoinDaily. The post provides no specific policy details (rate change, guidance, or balance sheet actions) in the text, so the claims are unverified without the video, source: @AltcoinDaily. Traders seeking confirmed information should monitor the official FOMC statement, press conference, and policy materials on federalreserve.gov for the actual decision and guidance, source: U.S. Federal Reserve. For positioning and volatility expectations around the decision window, check fed funds futures and CME FedWatch probabilities as the market-implied baseline, source: CME Group. |
|
2025-12-09 21:32 |
Gas Prices Record Lows Claim: Tom Emmer, EIA and CPI Verification, 3 Trading Checks, and BTC ETH Impact
According to @GOPMajorityWhip, gas prices and border crossings are at record lows and recent improvements are credited to the President and House GOP, posted Dec 9, 2025 (source: @GOPMajorityWhip on X). The post provides no data; traders should verify gasoline levels via the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update and confirm CPI energy dynamics via the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, while border crossing levels should be validated through U.S. Customs and Border Protection monthly statistics (source: U.S. EIA; U.S. BLS; U.S. CBP). For trading, a confirmed decline in retail gasoline would mechanically lower the CPI energy index by construction, and headline CPI is a key input watched by the Federal Reserve when assessing policy, which in turn influences risk-asset liquidity including crypto such as BTC and ETH (source: U.S. BLS CPI methodology; Federal Reserve FOMC statements). Near-term watchlist: next EIA weekly gasoline price update, the monthly BLS CPI release, and rate expectations via CME FedWatch, as shifts in inflation and policy expectations can affect USD liquidity conditions and digital asset pricing (source: U.S. EIA; U.S. BLS; CME FedWatch). |
|
2025-12-08 03:30 |
Bitcoin (BTC) Reclaims $91,000 as Traders Position for Fed Decision and U.S. Jobs Data
According to the source, BTC briefly moved back above 91,000 dollars as market participants positioned ahead of the next Federal Reserve policy decision and upcoming U.S. jobs data releases that can shift rate expectations and liquidity conditions, driving near-term volatility in crypto markets (source: the source). The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate at scheduled FOMC meetings, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the monthly Employment Situation Summary including Nonfarm Payrolls and the unemployment rate, both closely monitored by traders for macro direction (source: Federal Reserve; Bureau of Labor Statistics). Traders commonly track CME FedWatch Tool probabilities, Treasury yield moves, and options implied volatility on CME Bitcoin futures to manage risk into these events, as these gauges reflect shifting policy expectations and market hedging demand (source: CME Group; U.S. Department of the Treasury). |
|
2025-12-06 21:02 |
Kobeissi Letter says Kevin Hassett poised for Fed Chair in 2026 — trading watchlist for BTC, ETH and rates
According to @KobeissiLetter, the account states that the U.S. Treasury Secretary posted an update implying White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett is about to become Federal Reserve Chairman, flagging potential market shifts into 2026 (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Dec 6, 2025). There is no official confirmation in the cited post, so traders should await formal communications from the White House or the Federal Reserve before repositioning on this headline (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Dec 6, 2025; source: WhiteHouse.gov and FederalReserve.gov as the official nomination and announcement channels). For crypto, perceived changes in Fed leadership and rate expectations affect USD liquidity, real yields, and risk appetite, which have been increasingly correlated with BTC and ETH performance since 2020 (source: IMF research blog “Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks,” Jan 2022). Near term, monitor CME FedWatch probabilities, U.S. 2y/10y Treasury yields, DXY, and BTC/ETH price action for any repricing if an official nomination is released (source: CME Group FedWatch methodology; source: U.S. Department of the Treasury benchmark yields). |
|
2025-12-03 18:34 |
Fed Rate Cuts Despite 3% Inflation? @KobeissiLetter Says Easing Is Inevitable — Trading Playbook for BTC, ETH and Risk Assets
According to @KobeissiLetter, the Fed must cut rates even with inflation at 3% to support strained consumers, and he expects additional cuts as large-cap tech rallies (source: @KobeissiLetter). For crypto trading, easier policy and lower real yields have historically coincided with stronger BTC and ETH performance due to tighter equity–crypto correlations since 2020 (source: International Monetary Fund, 2022 Global Financial Stability Note on crypto–equity correlation). Traders can track cut odds via fed funds futures, policy guidance via FOMC statements, and macro drivers via the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and the U.S. Dollar Index to gauge risk-on momentum (sources: CME Group; Federal Reserve; U.S. Department of the Treasury; ICE). Catalyst watch: CPI releases and FOMC meetings are the key events that would validate or refute the rate-cut path and its impact on crypto liquidity and beta (sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Federal Reserve). |
|
2025-12-03 03:48 |
Kevin Hassett Likely Next Fed Chair Under Trump, per @simplykashif: Crypto Market Watch for BTC, ETH and Rates
According to @simplykashif, Kevin Hassett — described as a former Coinbase advisor — is likely to be named the next Federal Reserve Chair by Donald Trump; source: @simplykashif on X, Dec 3, 2025. According to the source, traders should be alert to headline-driven repricing across rate expectations and crypto risk sentiment and typically monitor CME FedWatch probabilities, front-end Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar Index, and BTC and ETH volatility during Fed leadership news; source: CME Group FedWatch Tool and ICE U.S. Dollar Index references cited by market participants. |
|
2025-12-02 23:44 |
Trump Cancels Fed Chair Interviews, Signals Decision: 3 Market Moves to Watch for Rates, USD, and Crypto (BTC, ETH)
According to @StockMKTNewz, the Trump administration canceled interviews with finalists for the next Federal Reserve chair that were set to begin this week, and President Trump suggested he has made his choice. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X. The Fed chair directs monetary policy communications and shapes rate expectations that drive the U.S. dollar and risk assets. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Bank for International Settlements. For trading, monitor fed funds futures (CME FedWatch), 2-year U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), and crypto majors BTC and ETH for potential volatility as leadership headlines develop. Sources: CME Group; U.S. Department of the Treasury; ICE Data Indices; Coin Metrics. |
|
2025-12-02 20:05 |
Trump Floats Kevin Hassett as Potential Fed Chair: 3 Trading Implications for Rates, USD, and Crypto (BTC, ETH)
According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump introduced White House Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett as a potential Federal Reserve Chair in remarks shared on X on Dec 2, 2025. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Dec 2, 2025. The Fed Chair is nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate, and as head of the FOMC the Chair influences the policy rate path that drives repricing in Fed funds futures, Treasury yields, and the U.S. Dollar Index. Sources: FederalReserve.gov; CME Group; U.S. Department of the Treasury; ICE Data Indices. For crypto traders, changes in U.S. rate expectations have historically increased co-movement and volatility across risk assets, with BTC and ETH showing stronger correlation with equities during policy tightening or easing episodes. Sources: International Monetary Fund, Global Financial Stability Note 2022; Bernanke and Kuttner, Journal of Finance 2005. Traders should monitor CME FedWatch probabilities, the 2-year Treasury yield, DXY, and BTC and ETH order books for signs of repricing and liquidity shifts as Fed Chair headlines develop. Sources: CME Group FedWatch Tool; U.S. Treasury yield data; ICE U.S. Dollar Index methodology; Coin Metrics market data. Kevin Hassett previously served as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers from 2017 to 2019, providing market-relevant policy background. Source: The White House archives (Council of Economic Advisers). |
|
2025-12-02 17:01 |
Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut Next Week in 2025: Trading Implications for BTC, ETH, DXY, and Yields
According to the source, Donald J. Trump urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week, saying "Even Dimon said Powell should reduce rates" (source: Donald J. Trump public video remarks dated December 2, 2025). Traders should track fed funds futures and CME FedWatch probabilities for shifts in near-term cut odds that can move the USD and short-end rates (source: CME Group FedWatch Tool and fed funds futures methodology). Analyses of historical market data show BTC has exhibited negative correlations with DXY and US real yields at times, guiding crypto positioning around policy pivots (source: Coin Metrics State of the Network research). Into the event window, monitor DXY and the US 2-year Treasury yield alongside BTC and ETH spot versus futures basis to gauge positioning and potential volatility (source: ICE U.S. Dollar Index methodology; U.S. Department of the Treasury yield data; CME Group Bitcoin futures and basis data). |
|
2025-12-01 12:12 |
Fed December Rate Cut Odds: WSJ Flags 4 Voters Leaning Dovish; Trading Watch for CME FedWatch, 2Y Yields, BTC and ETH
According to @StockMKTNewz, the Wall Street Journal maps four FOMC voters as more likely to back a December rate cut: Governor Christopher Waller, New York Fed President John Williams, Governor Stephen Miran, and Governor Michelle Bowman (source: @StockMKTNewz; Wall Street Journal). The post adds that the Boston Fed President is among officials less likely to support a cut, though the full list was not shown in the tweet (source: @StockMKTNewz). Traders can gauge how this lineup may shift market-implied odds via CME FedWatch and confirm in front-end rates like the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield (source: CME Group; U.S. Department of the Treasury). Crypto desks can monitor CME Bitcoin futures open interest and basis into the December decision window alongside BTC and ETH spot liquidity as macro-sensitive flows adjust to policy expectations (source: CME Group; Federal Reserve Board FOMC calendar). |
|
2025-11-30 22:38 |
Trump Says Next Fed Chair Pick Is Decided, Announcement Soon: Trading Implications for Rate Expectations, DXY, BTC and ETH
According to @KobeissiLetter, President Trump stated he has decided who will be the next Federal Reserve Chair and will announce it soon, indicating an imminent nomination headline risk for markets; source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, 2025-11-30, https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1995261135051005996. The Fed Chair leads the Board of Governors and serves as FOMC chair, a role central to policy communications that anchor interest-rate expectations tracked by global markets; source: Federal Reserve, About the FOMC, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomc.htm. Research shows monetary policy news materially moves traditional risk assets, and crypto assets such as BTC and ETH have grown more correlated with equities and respond to U.S. monetary news, making this announcement market-relevant for digital assets; source: IMF Blog, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022-01-11, https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-risk-new-threat-to-financial-stability. Traders commonly track implied rate probabilities via CME FedWatch derived from Fed Funds futures to gauge policy repricing around such headlines; source: CME Group, CME FedWatch Tool, https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html. |
|
2025-11-25 14:29 |
U.S. December Rate Cut Odds Surge to 84.7% After Soft Core PPI — What It Means for Crypto Risk Assets (BTC, ETH)
According to @cas_abbe, the probability of a U.S. December rate cut has jumped from about 35% a week ago to 84.7% today, referencing odds commonly derived from Fed funds futures pricing. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025; CME Group FedWatch Tool. @cas_abbe also states that Core PPI came in lower than expected, which he says should further boost rate-cut odds. Source: Cas Abbé on X, Nov 25, 2025. For traders, the macro backdrop matters for crypto because crypto prices have increasingly moved in sync with equities since 2020, making BTC and ETH sensitive to policy-easing signals. Source: International Monetary Fund blog, 2022, Crypto Prices Move in Sync With Stocks. |
|
2025-11-24 12:47 |
Fed’s Waller Backs December Rate Cut: 3 High-Impact Trades for BTC, ETH, DXY
According to @StockMKTNewz, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said his concern is the labor market and he is advocating for a rate cut at the December meeting (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 24, 2025). A confirmed dovish pivot typically pressures front-end Treasury yields lower and eases the US dollar, historically supportive for risk assets including BTC and ETH via lower discount rates and liquidity channels (source: Federal Reserve Board materials on monetary policy transmission; BIS research on risk-asset response). Traders can track December cut odds via the CME FedWatch Tool and adjust crypto beta accordingly, with BTC often inversely correlated to real yields (source: CME FedWatch Tool; Federal Reserve FRED series on real yields). Actionable setups: watch for DXY pullbacks and 2-year yield dips to coincide with BTC upside and consider hedging alt exposure around FOMC headline risk into December (source: BIS Quarterly Review on cross-asset correlations; CME event calendars). |
|
2025-11-14 22:20 |
BTC (Bitcoin) Drop Below $95,000 Requires Verifiable Primary Sources: Exchange Prints and CME FedWatch Data Needed
According to the source, the claim that BTC fell below $95,000 amid panic selling tied to shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations cannot be verified here because the only provided author is a crypto media outlet we cannot cite as a source. To produce a trading-grade summary, please share exchange-level evidence such as spot prints and order book snapshots for BTCUSD/BTCUSDT from Binance or Coinbase Advanced (source: Binance; Coinbase Advanced). For the macro driver, provide current FOMC path probabilities to confirm any rate repricing (source: CME Group FedWatch Tool) and corresponding U.S. Treasury yield levels for context (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury). Risk-off confirmation can be cross-checked via DXY and VIX to gauge dollar strength and equity volatility impacts on crypto (source: ICE Data Indices; Cboe). |
|
2025-11-12 18:37 |
Report: White House Press Secretary Says October CPI and Jobs Data Will Likely Never Be Released — Immediate Crypto Impact on BTC, ETH Volatility
According to @stocktalkweekly, the White House press secretary identified as Leavitt said October CPI and jobs data will likely never be released, posted on Nov 12, 2025; source: @stocktalkweekly. Traders should wait for confirmation or refutation on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics release schedule for CPI and the Employment Situation before repositioning; source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BTC and ETH historically experience elevated intraday swings around CPI and NFP prints, with short-dated implied volatility rising into these events; source: Deribit Insights, Kaiko Research. If key macro releases are withheld, rate-expectation proxies (CME FedWatch) and U.S. Treasury yields can dominate risk pricing and spill over to crypto beta; source: CME FedWatch, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Actionables: monitor the BLS press room, track DXY and 2Y/10Y yields, and consider hedging with short-dated BTC and ETH options to manage event risk; source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of the Treasury, Deribit. |
|
2025-11-12 18:35 |
October CPI May Not Be Released, Says @StockMKTNewz — Trading Impact on Rates, USD, BTC and ETH
According to @StockMKTNewz, the post on X stated that "We may never get October's CPI data." source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 12, 2025. The Consumer Price Index is the official U.S. inflation report published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; if the October release is unavailable, a primary input used by traders to calibrate Federal Reserve rate expectations via CME FedWatch would be missing. sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; CME Group. For crypto markets, institutional access to BTC and ETH via CME Bitcoin and Ether futures makes macro data windows operationally important for positioning and hedging across risk assets. source: CME Group. Until there is official guidance, traders can monitor proxy gauges such as the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting, Treasury 10-year breakeven inflation, and ISM Prices Paid to infer inflation trends. sources: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland; U.S. Department of the Treasury; Institute for Supply Management. Market participants should monitor the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics for status updates or advisories regarding the October CPI report. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. |
|
2025-11-12 06:13 |
BTC Traders Brace for U.S. CPI: 5 High-Impact Signals to Watch for Volatility and Fed Expectations
According to the source, BTC traders are focused on this week’s U.S. CPI because the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the index at 8:30 a.m. ET on its official schedule and CPI prints are among the most market-moving macro data, source: BLS CPI calendar https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm. CPI surprises versus expectations can rapidly shift market-implied probabilities for the next FOMC meeting, as tracked in real time by the CME FedWatch Tool, which often triggers cross-asset repositioning that spills into crypto, source: CME FedWatch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html. Within CPI, core inflation and shelter carry outsized influence because shelter has the largest weight in the basket, making sticky shelter a key risk to rate-cut timelines that risk assets monitor, source: BLS CPI relative importance tables https://www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/relative-importance/home.htm. Given the documented rise in co-movement between crypto and U.S. equities, especially during macro shocks, BTC can mirror stock reactions to inflation surprises, so traders watch S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures into the print, source: IMF research blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks https://blogs.imf.org/en/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks/. Options markets also price event risk; BTC implied volatility typically adjusts into and immediately after CPI, and many use listed crypto options for hedging directional exposure around the release, source: Deribit Insights overview and DVOL resources https://insights.deribit.com and Deribit options marketplace https://www.deribit.com. Futures traders monitor basis and liquidity on CME Bitcoin futures to gauge institutional positioning and potential gap risk around the headline, source: CME Bitcoin futures product page https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/bitcoin/bitcoin.html. |
|
2025-11-10 08:18 |
Fed December Rate Cut Odds Drop: Macro Signal Traders Watch For BTC and ETH Volatility
According to @cryptorover, the odds of a December Federal Reserve rate cut are dropping, highlighting a macro shift traders monitor for potential volatility in crypto markets including BTC and ETH, source: Crypto Rover on X. Traders commonly reference the CME FedWatch Tool to quantify policy path probabilities and align positioning in crypto with changing rate expectations, source: CME FedWatch Tool. |